Ever since 2004, the non-OPEC world has struggled to increase its oil production from a plateau around 50 million barrels per day. Today’s EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) now projects that 2008 non-OPEC production will actually decrease by more than 200,000 barrels per day. As I have been stressing in recent blogs, the EIA has been constantly lowering its non-OPEC production predictions throughout the year. As recently as February, they thought non-OPEC producers would supply 900,000 barrels per day more in 2008. Their current prediction couldn’t be too far off now that (more…)