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	<title>SET Energy &#187; Cantarell</title>
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	<description>Sustainable Energy Transition</description>
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		<title>Hurricane Gustav &amp; Mexico production declines</title>
		<link>http://setenergy.org/2008/08/26/hurricane-gustav-mexico-production-declines/</link>
		<comments>http://setenergy.org/2008/08/26/hurricane-gustav-mexico-production-declines/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Aug 2008 21:00:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dennis M.</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Recap]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Natural Gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cantarell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hurricane Gustav]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mexico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The first major hurricane of the 2008 season is churning its way toward oil and gas rigs in the Gulf of Mexico &#8212; sending prices up even though the dollar is strong today. Gustav turned from a new Tropical Depression yesterday to a Category 1 Hurricane today as it passes over southern Haiti. NOAA forecasters [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The first major hurricane of the 2008 season is churning its way toward oil and gas rigs in the Gulf of Mexico &#8212; sending prices up even though the dollar is strong today. Gustav turned from a new Tropical Depression yesterday to a Category 1 Hurricane today as it passes over southern Haiti. <a href="http://www.noaawatch.gov/2008/gustav.php">NOAA forecasters predict</a> it will remain over water south of Cuba and then hit the Gulf as a Category 3 or 4 storm gathering strength from the warm water. This would threaten to shut down Gulf of Mexico fields that equal<span id="more-65"></span> 25% and 15% of US oil and natural gas production. Only time will tell whether Gustav takes a similar path to Katrina or Rita, hurricanes that increased prices dramatically.</p>
<p>Another major story that emerged today was Mexico&#8217;s announcement that its oil production continued its rapid decline. Their main oil field, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSN2635630120080826?rpc=401&#038;">Cantarell, managed less than a million barrels per day</a> of production in July &#8212; less than half its production a few short years ago. At 974,000 barrels per day, Cantarell production has dropped more than a third from last July. New production at key fields such as Chincotepec and Ku Maloob Zaap can only offset part of the decline from Cantarell &#8212; threatening our major source of imports to become a net importer themselves within a few years. On top of that, the President of major oil and gas producer <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/aug/26/russia.georgia2">Russia said today that they are not afraid of a new Cold War</a> after they recognized the breakaway Georgian territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. </p>
<p>With hurricanes, oil production declines, <a href="http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1834956,00.html">accelerating melting in Greenland&#8217;s glaciers</a>, and political gaming &#8212; it&#8217;s clear that a sustainable energy transition must become a higher priority for the US and all other oil importers.</p>
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