The US Energy Information Agency (EIA) released a purchase Accutane without a prescription online preview of yet another exciting energy document yesterday, their Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) prednisone no s consult to 2030. This year’s AEO 2009 showed dramatic shifts from purchase Accutane without a prescription online last year that can help us achieve carbon emissions reduction toward stabilizing our global climate. But it purchase Accutane without a prescription online also shows we have more work to do.
The preview projects higher oil prices, slower growth in electricity demand, and purchase Accutane without a prescription online lower carbon dioxide emissions.
Oil prices are purchase Accutane without a prescription online predicted to rise to new records once the economic recovery picks up, reaching above $125 per barrel (inflation-adjusted 2007 dollars) as an purchase Accutane without a prescription online annual average rather than a temporary spike like this summer. As I wrote yesterday, they predict US oil consumption will stay flat through 2030. And they also project US oil production will rise to purchase Accutane without a prescription online a level close to the 1970 peak thanks to the higher prices incentivizing further exploration and purchase Accutane without a prescription online development.
Peak oil theorists would laugh at this purchase Accutane without a prescription online production assessment and remind EIA staff that US oil production has purchase Accutane without a prescription online been falling on average ~2% per year. But next year’s high prospects for 5% growth in production due to three large new fields ramping up (Thunder Horse, Tahiti, and Atlantis) gives the purchase Accutane without a prescription online EIA hope the trend of decrease could reverse. They also include a purchase Accutane without a prescription online large increase in biofuels production, which is more believable to me than purchase Accutane without a prescription online the production increases. It’s hard for purchase Accutane without a prescription online me to imagine US oil production in 2030 at a higher level than purchase Accutane without a prescription online today, but we will see how new discoveries are able to purchase Accutane without a prescription online compete with rapid field depletion. The stagnant demand is good news to purchase Accutane without a prescription online keep us from getting more dependent on foreign oil since many of our top sources of imports such as Mexico are purchase Accutane without a prescription online in decline. But we may need to go further and reduce our demand since it purchase Accutane without a prescription online would be precarious for us to rely on undiscovered oil to purchase Accutane without a prescription online fulfill future needs.
The slower growth in electricity demand is purchase Accutane without a prescription online another welcome development. Our electricity demand growth has been falling steadily since we had purchase Accutane without a prescription online China-like 9% growth during the purchase Accutane without a prescription online 1950s. Each decade showed a deceleration of growth: 7.3% in the 60s, 4.2% in the 70s, 3.1% in the 80s, 2.4% in the 90s, and 1.1% from 2000-07. The AEO predicts 1% annual growth through 2030. But the 5% fall in electricity consumption zovirax with no rx this purchase Accutane without a prescription online past September leads me to believe that we can stop demand growth altogether through 2030 instead. Such an purchase Accutane without a prescription online accomplishment would allow wind, solar and other low-carbon installations to replace old coal power plants in the purchase Accutane without a prescription online years ahead and reduce our electricity generation costs. The EIA predicts renewables will add 57 GW to purchase Accutane without a prescription online the grid by 2030. If we keep electricity demand constant, those 57 GWs can purchase Accutane without a prescription online help decommission the dirtiest plants around our country — cleaning our water, our air, and mitigating climate change.
The AEO already predicts much slower growth in carbon dioxide emissions than purchase Accutane without a prescription online last year, at a pace of only .3% per year. So deploying enough efficiency to purchase Accutane without a prescription online keep electricity demand constant and increase renewables’ market share would allow emissions to purchase Accutane without a prescription online fall even with economic growth in 2010+.
Bottom line: This year’s AEO shows progress on energy security and purchase Accutane without a prescription online climate change through a more rapid deployment of energy efficiency and purchase Accutane without a prescription online renewables over the next two decades. However, for us to be purchase Accutane without a prescription online an international leader and stop global warming, we need to go further. Recent data of drops in demand for purchase Accutane without a prescription online electricity and fuels show that we can keep such demand constant or purchase Accutane without a prescription online even on a slowly decreasing trajectory. We just have to seize the purchase Accutane without a prescription online opportunity in 2009 to launch an Energy Corps that helps Americans integrate cost-cutting efficiency into their homes and offices.
Onwards in the sustainable energy transition-
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